Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XLM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-05 0.241816 0.283552 0.332952 0.396465 0.477030 0.577317 0.714020
2025-01-12 0.181985 0.233508 0.302603 0.405106 0.559003 0.791864 1.193961
2025-01-19 0.144489 0.197103 0.274106 0.401140 0.619199 1.009629 1.855595
2025-01-26 0.123368 0.176605 0.260206 0.411047 0.702816 1.316808 3.011974
2025-02-02 0.109505 0.163171 0.252621 0.427256 0.804564 1.736891 5.109954
2025-02-09 0.098284 0.151319 0.244201 0.438224 0.901217 2.236518 8.726293
2025-02-16 0.089813 0.142325 0.238454 0.452175 1.013338 2.911162 16.011171
2025-02-23 0.082292 0.133611 0.231163 0.460201 1.116254 3.707570 30.483704
2025-03-02 0.075647 0.125394 0.223090 0.463793 1.210520 4.644833 61.903344
2025-03-09 0.069521 0.117248 0.213579 0.460947 1.284637 5.659645 133.851250
2025-03-16 0.063699 0.108922 0.202231 0.450089 1.326085 6.617508 302.062916
2025-03-23 0.060514 0.105379 0.200712 0.465857 1.484501 8.948140 1767.111078
2025-03-30 0.055828 0.098348 0.190408 0.454209 1.525903 10.547931 14166.307968
2025-04-06 0.052765 0.094339 0.186556 0.461347 1.665034 14.059977 NaN
2025-04-13 0.049349 0.089208 0.179241 0.455637 1.740015 17.433423 NaN
2025-04-20 0.047146 0.086428 0.177243 0.467040 1.924535 24.802105 NaN
2025-04-27 0.045477 0.084618 0.177381 0.486141 2.184150 38.844017 NaN
2025-05-04 0.043677 0.082314 0.175880 0.499124 2.428491 60.627974 NaN
2025-05-11 0.042149 0.080463 0.175291 0.515696 2.733235 104.124543 NaN
2025-05-18 0.040487 0.078134 0.173053 0.525247 3.006353 179.361704 NaN
2025-05-25 0.038787 0.075554 0.169749 0.529524 3.249849 314.671335 NaN
2025-06-01 0.036994 0.072595 0.164973 0.526133 3.421753 535.250339 NaN
2025-06-08 0.035074 0.069177 0.158453 0.513210 3.478819 812.918918 NaN